Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.663604 4.310300 5.060305 5.999876 7.153038 8.531904 10.320034
2025-01-05 2.654372 3.436184 4.453520 5.896426 7.926535 10.736870 15.022259
2025-01-12 2.215208 3.050404 4.222565 6.031127 8.831703 13.145095 20.585691
2025-01-19 1.857951 2.679145 3.899349 5.908588 9.265328 14.904716 25.698869
2025-01-26 1.714236 2.581158 3.940899 6.325188 10.618669 18.495555 35.305306
2025-02-02 1.570493 2.452795 3.902034 6.585927 11.751159 22.016243 46.275312
2025-02-09 1.461308 2.359380 3.898240 6.896780 13.043155 26.243374 60.790084
2025-02-16 1.339045 2.223608 3.794945 6.994387 13.926475 29.888247 75.796047
2025-02-23 1.240092 2.113594 3.718302 7.124214 14.906728 34.090429 94.759581
2025-03-02 1.131727 1.971535 3.558774 7.049335 15.401686 37.267039 112.635901
2025-03-09 1.060170 1.888724 3.501189 7.180822 16.424971 42.242190 140.109838
2025-03-16 0.978312 1.775951 3.367030 7.114075 16.931627 45.952767 165.814859
2025-03-23 0.900100 1.672720 3.262326 7.158455 17.933117 52.242553 211.316322
2025-03-30 0.815266 1.547936 3.098941 7.044633 18.528367 57.818960 262.296347
2025-04-06 0.762530 1.481546 3.051227 7.210157 20.020339 67.567505 351.019365
2025-04-13 0.695707 1.376031 2.897266 7.058898 20.470771 73.668322 429.408511
2025-04-20 0.676326 1.371097 2.977302 7.573788 23.376906 92.452396 642.830974
2025-04-27 0.647149 1.340046 2.988771 7.896736 25.771901 111.164216 916.345793
2025-05-04 0.623140 1.317518 3.017611 8.282422 28.616418 135.204653 1344.534948
2025-05-11 0.589188 1.267123 2.966311 8.403673 30.468846 155.784680 1837.591412
2025-05-18 0.559980 1.224580 2.929257 8.565054 32.605914 180.924349 2569.037554
2025-05-25 0.523876 1.160845 2.824885 8.471962 33.556382 199.301679 3325.498531
2025-06-01 0.500105 1.125363 2.794278 8.635460 35.870085 231.562964 4754.351880